Champions League 2023/2024 Final: Betting Tips
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UCL Standings: Who's Dominating?
The climax game of European club football is here again! Real Madrid are in another Champions League final, having won the title recently in 21/22 season. Only Edin Terzic’s Borussia Dortmund is standing in their way this time. The 14-time UCL Champions have reached the finals five times in the past 11 seasons and have won all of them. Can Borussia Dortmund stop them from making it 6 in six finals?
The German side finished fifth in the Bundesliga this season but have defied the odds to reach the UCL final. However, we feel they’ve not been really tested. In the knockouts so far, they beat PSV, and eliminated a poor Atletico Madrid side, before taking out PSG in the semis.
In contrast, Real Madrid has knocked out both RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich, who finished the season comfortably above Dortmund in the German league. They also ousted defending UCL champions and current EPL champions, Manchester City on the road to the final.
Best Bets for the Match
Undoubtedly, this will be Dortmund’s toughest test of the season, which is why Real Madrid are heavily favored to win in 90 minutes at odds of 8/13 and to lift the trophy at 3/10.
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Real Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Borussia Dortmund 5.20 | Draw 4.20 | Real Madrid 1.65 | |
 | Borussia Dortmund 5.30 | Draw 4.20 | Real Madrid 1.64 | |
 | Borussia Dortmund 5.00 | Draw 4.30 | Real Madrid 1.64 | |
 | Borussia Dortmund 5.00 | Draw 4.30 | Real Madrid 1.62 | |
 | Borussia Dortmund 5.25 | Draw 4.22 | Real Madrid 1.62 |
- Given the strengths of Ancelotti’s team, I feel backing Real Madrid to Win and Under 3.5 Goals at 6/4 is a solid bet.
This is a team that clinched the La Liga title and has maintained a 47-game unbeaten run across all competitions since September. We don’t think they will falter under pressure with their already-known dominance in the Champions League.
The recent Champions League finals tend to have fewer goals, with 5 of the last 6 and 11 of the last 15 finals going under 2.5 goals. Thus, we won’t expect too many goals in this coming final.
Real Madrid also has a strong defensive record this season, having conceded 35 goals in their last 43 matches across UCL and La Liga matches. They allowed an average of 1.04 xGA each game and have kept 21 clean sheets. They’ll likely keep the Germans at bay.
On the other side, Dortmund has shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.65 xGA per game this season across their league and UCL games. Only poor finishing and high-quality goalkeeping have helped them reach this far, but Real Madrid’s clinical finishing could expose them.
Betting on Cards
Recent UCL finals have been good for punters betting against many cards, with this option landing in 4 of the last 6 finals. It almost yielded in last year’s final between Man City and Inter Milan until three yellow cards were shown after the 90th minute.
- Hence, another great option for betting is UNDER 3.5 CARDS at 6/4. Real Madrid has averaged 3.33 cards per game and Dortmund 2.92, which means the Under 3.5 Cards bet is promising.
